Tracking time-varying coefficient-functions

Henrik Aalborg Nielsen, Torben Skov Nielsen, Alfred Karsten Joensen, Henrik Madsen, Jan Holst

AbstractA method for adaptive and recursive estimation in a class of
non-linear autoregressive models with external input is proposed.
The model class considered is conditionally parametric ARX-models
(CPARX-models), which is conventional ARX-models in which the
parameters are replaced by smooth, but otherwise unknown,
functions of a low-dimensional input process. These
coefficient-functions are estimated adaptively and recursively
without specifying a global parametric form, i.e.\ the method
allows for on-line tracking of the coefficient-functions.
Essentially, in its most simple form, the method is a combination
of recursive least squares with exponential forgetting and local
polynomial regression. It is argued, that it is appropriate to
let the forgetting factor vary with the value of the external
signal which is the argument of the coefficient-functions. Some
of the key properties of the modified method are studied by
simulation.
KeywordsAdaptive and recursive estimation; Non-linear models; Time-varying functions; Conditional parametric models; Non-parametric method.
TypeJournal paper [With referee]
JournalInternational Journal of Adaptive Control and Signal Processing
Year2000    Vol. 14    No. 8    pp. 813-828
Electronic version(s)[ps]
BibTeX data [bibtex]
IMM Group(s)Mathematical Statistics