@CONFERENCE\{IMM2001-0664, author = "G. Giebel and L. Landberg and T. S. Nielsen and H. Madsen", title = "Zephyr - the next generation prediction.", year = "2001", month = "jul", keywords = "Forecasting methods, models (mathematical), statistical analysis, computer programs, models (physical)", edition = "Peter Helm", pages = "1248", booktitle = "the European Wind Energy Conference, Copenhagen", volume = "1", series = "", editor = "", publisher = "WIP-Munich and {ETA-}Florence", organization = "", address = "Sylvensteinstr.2,D-81369 Munchen/Piazza Savonarola,10, {I-}50132 Florence", url = "http://www2.compute.dtu.dk/pubdb/pubs/664-full.html", abstract = "Two of the most successful short-term prediction models (and the only ones in operational use at utilities) are going to be merged into one: the Ris{\o} model, developed by Landberg and the Wind Power Prediction Tool {WPPT,} developed at the Department of Mathematical Modelling {IMM} of the Danish Technical University. This paper will describe a new project funded by the Danish Ministry of Energy where the largest Danish utilities (Elkraft, Elsam, Eltra and {SEAS}) are participating. Two advantages can be achieved by combining the effort: The software architecture will be state-of-the-art, using the Java2TM platform and Enterprise Java Beans technology, and it will ensure that the best forecasts are given on all prediction horizons from the short range (0-9 hours) to the long range (36-48 hours). This is because the {IMM} approach uses online data and advanced statistical methods, which is advantageous in the short horizon, while the use of meteorological models like the {HIRLAM} model of the Danish Meteorological Institute is advantageous in the long term. The Ris{\o} approach is not based on data input from the wind farms, and can therefore deliver a starting guess, as well as a back-up for the case of missing online data.", isbn_issn = "88-900442-9-2and3-936338-09-4" }